(a) Plot the data on U.S. general aviation shipments. (b) Describe the pattern and discuss possible.

(a) Plot the data on U.S. general aviation shipments. (b)
Describe the pattern and discuss possible causes. (c) Would a fitted trend be
helpful? Explain. (d) Make a similar graph for 1993–2008 only. Would a fitted
trend be helpful in making a prediction for 2009? (e) Fit a trend model of your
choice to the 1993–2008 data. (f) Make a forecast for 2009, using either a
fitted trend model or a judgment forecast. (g) Might it be best to ignore
earlier years in this data set?

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